US Economics Update Fed holds as markets struggle to get a handle on Warsh The Fed left its key policy rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% with almost zero changes to the statement, but three hawkish dissents from regional bank presidents Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari and Beth... 29th July 2026 · 3 mins read
US Rapid Response US Fed Policy Announcement (Jul. 2026) The Fed left its key policy rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% with almost zero changes to the statement, but three hawkish dissents from regional bank presidents Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari and Beth... 29th July 2026 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Can S&P 500 continue to shrug off falling semis? Much like in 2000, good returns from the average stock have helped the S&P 500 hold steady in recent weeks despite the rout in semiconductor stocks. But, as happened back then, we doubt the average S... 29th July 2026 · 5 mins read
Capital Daily Are the wheels falling off the AI stock market train? The share prices of some of the global tech giants at the heart of the AI revolution have come under pressure amid a variety of concerns, raising the question of whether the wheels are falling off the... 28th July 2026 · 5 mins read
US Economics Update Labour market conditions likely to tighten again The immigration crackdown has not generated widespread labour shortages, even in those sectors most exposed. Nonetheless, if we are right to expect stronger labour demand in the coming quarters, then... 28th July 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (May 2026) Although house prices regained some momentum in May the recent rebound in mortgage rates to around 6.8% will further weigh on affordability, suggesting this won’t be sustained. 28th July 2026 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q2 2026: Returns rangebound for sixth quarter Q2’s total return of 1.3% was dominated by the income component, with cap rates and capital values broadly steady. Meanwhile, aside from senior housing, where quarterly returns hit 3.9% in Q2, sector... 27th July 2026 · 3 mins read
US Economics Weekly Tariff wall rebuild underway The new forced labour Section 301 tariffs that took effect today are only part of the administration’s broader strategy to push the average tariff rate back towards its pre-IEEPA-ruling level of... 24th July 2026 · 6 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Latest tariff threat highlights splintering provincial fortunes The newly announced Section 338 tariffs heap more pain on particular industries while again leaving items such as energy and fertiliser unscathed. This special treatment is shaping relative growth... 24th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily Is there still scope for another surge in the S&P 500? Despite a favourable reaction to Intel’s consensus-beating financial results for Q2, concerns about the ability of the US hyperscalers and others to monetise huge investments in AI may continue to... 24th July 2026 · 4 mins read
US Fed Watch Rate hikes coming, but not until September The benign June price data brought the Fed some more time to gauge how inflation evolves over the coming months. If inflation pressures remain as persistent as we expect, the Fed will begin tightening... 23rd July 2026 · 8 mins read
China Economics Focus Chinese AI models – your questions answered Last week’s release of Kimi K3 has triggered a renewed wave of global interest in Chinese AI models. This Focus answers the key questions we have received from clients. It discusses how Chinese models... 23rd July 2026 · 24 mins read
Bonds Update What the AI debt boom means for borrowing costs The boom in AI-related corporate bond issuance looks set to continue as firms ramp up their spending on the AI buildout. We think this deluge of supply will increasingly test investors’ capacity to... 23rd July 2026 · 4 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada Retail Sales (May 2026) Consumers unphased by higher gasoline prices The rise in retail sales volumes in May and flash estimate of another solid gain in June suggests households have shrugged off higher gasoline prices... 23rd July 2026 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update What is the future of US tariffs? The “Section 122” global tariff imposed by the Trump administration after the Supreme Court struck down its IEEPA tariffs (including those from “Liberation Day”) in February will expire on Friday, to... 23rd July 2026 · 6 mins read
US Economics Update Core goods inflation unlikely to fully normalise The PPI and import price data suggest that the AI buildout and supply constraints from the war in Iran will prevent core goods inflation from fully normalising, even as tariff effects ease. 22nd July 2026 · 2 mins read
