Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Jan.) & Unemployment (Dec.) January’s fall in euro-zone inflation is good news for consumers, but with unemployment still at a record high in December, incomes and spending will remain under severe strain. 1st February 2013 · 1 min read
ECB Watch Draghi to shrug off currency concerns The continued improvement in financial market conditions and surveys of economic activity has taken some of the pressure off the ECB this month. We expect the Bank to strike a relatively hawkish tone... 31st January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Jan. 13) January’s rise in the euro-zone EC Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) provided further evidence that the improvement in market conditions seen over recent months is starting to have a moderately... 30th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Fiscal Monitor (Jan. 13) The latest fiscal news from the periphery suggests that Greece, Ireland and Portugal met their fiscal goals for 2012 as a whole. 29th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Can exporters shrug off the euro's rise? The euro’s appreciation over recent months may not necessarily prove disastrous for exporters. But with domestic demand likely to continue to contract, the strong currency reduces the chances of the... 29th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Dec. 12) The latest euro-zone monetary data have brought further signs of an improvement in financial market conditions. However, lending to firms and households has continued to fall and seems unlikely to... 28th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update LTRO repayments to give mixed signals The expected repayment of some ECB LTRO funding should add to signs that the region’s banking system is on the mend. But it will also underline the weakness of demand in the region and could fuel... 24th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Jan.) January’s flash euro-zone Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMIs) provided further evidence that the pace of contraction in the euro-zone economy has decelerated at the start of this year. But it is too... 24th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update What scope for a virtuous circle? While the improvement in financial market sentiment seen over recent months should have some beneficial effects on the euro-zone’s troubled economies, hopes that a “virtuous circle” will bring an end... 23rd January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Cypriot bail-out struggles continue The Troika and the Cypriot Government have reached a stalemate, with the latter refusing to agree to the terms for a vital bail-out. An agreement should be reached after next month’s election and... 17th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update The euro could rise further - unhelpfully While the euro may well strengthen further in the near term, we still expect it to weaken again later in the year as worries over the currency union resurface. In the meantime, though, the strong... 15th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Trade Balance (Nov.) & German GDP (2012) The latest euro-zone trade data and the 2012 German GDP figures do nothing to alter the view that the euro-zone economy ended the year on a low note. 15th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Nov. 12) November’s euro-zone industrial production data provided further strong signs that the recession in the region as a whole intensified in the final quarter of last year. 14th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly ECB keeps its head in the sand The ECB’s comments last week dealt a blow to any hopes that it might provide more support to the euro-zone economy. With financial market conditions improving, the Bank no longer seems to be... 14th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Chart Pack Tentative signs of improvement Recent months have seen a small, but encouraging, improvement in some euro-zone activity indicators, particularly in the peripheral economies like Greece. However, in most cases, those indicators... 10th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB dampens hopes of further policy action The European Central Bank (ECB) appears content to sit on the sidelines for now and hope that the recent stabilisation of the euro-zone debt crisis continues. Eventually, however, President Draghi’s... 10th January 2013 · 1 min read
