Europe Economic Outlook Euro-zone recession to deepen in 2013 While the lull in the euro-zone debt crisis has continued in recent months, the news on the region’s economy has remained distinctly downbeat. Despite some improvement towards the end of last year... 9th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone commercial property faces weak start to the year This morning’s EC survey suggests that euro-zone commercial property markets ended 2012 on a low note. What’s more, past form suggests that the weakening in economic sentiment already seen is... 8th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Dec.), Unemp. & Retail Sales (Nov.) Despite the small rise in economic sentiment in December, the latest batch of eurozone data still presented a decidedly downbeat picture of the state of the currency union’s economy at the end of last... 8th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Euro-zone policymakers face another demanding year Euro-zone policymakers have created a bit of breathing space for themselves in the latter half of 2012, but we think that there are a number of potential stumbling blocks on the horizon which could... 7th January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI & Final Composite PMI (Dec. 12) The news that both activity and inflation in the euro-zone remained subdued at the end of last year will increase the pressure on the European Central Bank to provide further policy support ahead of... 4th January 2013 · 1 min read
ECB Watch A testing new year Having prevented catastrophe in 2012 by pledging to do whatever it takes to save the euro, the European Central Bank will have to follow words with actions in 2013. While no policy changes are likely... 3rd January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Fiscal Monitor (Dec. 12) The latest fiscal data support the view that both Italy and Spain will fail to meet their fiscal goals for 2012 as a whole. 3rd January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Nov. 12) The latest euro-zone monetary data brought no signs of any easing in the severe credit constraints facing both households and companies in the single currency area. 3rd January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Final Manufacturing PMI (Dec.) The renewed fall in the euro-zone manufacturing PMI in December underlined the weakness of activity in the region at the end of last year. 2013 looks set to be another very challenging year for the... 2nd January 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update 2013: Another challenging year for the euro-zone The intervention of the European Central Bank helped to prevent the euro-zone debt crisis from escalating further in 2012. But the currency union still faces a number of major challenges in 2013. 20th December 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update How encouraging are recent current account trends? The narrowing of the southern euro-zone economies’ current account deficits implies that economic imbalances within the region are shrinking. But the rebalancing process is far from complete. 19th December 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update 2012: Day of reckoning postponed by the ECB Our fears that 2012 could be the “crunch year” for the euro-zone were not borne out – barring catastrophe in the next week or so! However, the fact that the economic news has been largely as we... 18th December 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Negative ECB rates might do more harm than good Given the dubious benefits and possible costs of cutting deposit rates below zero, we still see ECB interest rates remaining on hold for the foreseeable future. 18th December 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Trade Balance (Oct.) October’s euro-zone trade data confirmed that the region continues to run a large trade surplus by historical standards. But the recent fall in exports is another reason to believe that the consensus... 17th December 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Slow progress towards banking union The European Council finally managed to reach some important compromises last week, allowing progress to be made towards setting up an EU-wide bank supervisor in the form of the ECB. But, presumably... 17th December 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Dec.), Final CPI (Nov.) & Emp. (Q3) Despite rising for a second month running in December, the euro-zone composite PMI remained well below the “no-change” level, consistent with a deepening recession in Q4. 14th December 2012 · 1 min read
