How much extra borrowing will the bond market tolerate?
The markets would probably tolerate a rise in borrowing provided it is not too big (perhaps of up to about £15bn or 0.5% of GDP), it is primarily to invest, and it comes alongside a credible commitment to fiscal prudence. A bigger rise in borrowing and a shift away from fiscal restraint risks a sharp rise in bond yields and may mean the government has to back track anyway.
We’ll be discussing key takeaways from our latest Global Economic Outlook in an online Drop-In briefing on Wednesday, 1st July. Register here to join the session.
Subscriber content
Read this in full, free
Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.