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US Employment Report (Jan. 2025)

The softer 143,000 gain in payrolls in January is nothing to be concerned about following the upward revisions to payrolls in November and December, which left the three-month average gain at a near-two year high of 237,000. That strength, together with a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.0% and a pick-up in earnings growth, provide support to our view that the Fed will remain on the sidelines this year.

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