India Economics Weekly Rupee rally requires an improvement in fundamentals The rupee has rallied this week after the RBI introduced measures to curb dollar demand and deter speculative positioning. But while these steps have provided near-term support, a more durable... 16th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Bank Indonesia: MSCI threat puts rate hike in play Bank Indonesia is likely to leave rates on hold at its meeting next week, but today’s sharp market sell-off following MSCI’s threat to downgrade Indonesia to standalone status raises the prospect of a... 16th October 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Rapid Response MSCI downgrade threat deals further blow to Indonesia 16th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly PPI weakness masks persistent price pressures September’s decline in producer prices should not be interpreted as evidence that inflation is fading. The fall was driven by a handful of idiosyncratic factors, while a closer look at the data... 16th October 2026 · 4 mins read
China Rapid Response China Bank Lending & Broad Credit (Sep.) Broad credit growth fell to a fresh record low last month, dragged down by continued weakness in bank lending. Household borrowing remained the main drag, reflecting weak appetite for debt-financed... 14th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update MAS leaves policy on hold, further moves unlikely The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) left monetary policy settings unchanged today, and we think they will remain on hold in the near term. Although growth should remain strong, inflation is... 14th October 2026 · 3 mins read
China Rapid Response China Merchandise Trade (Sep. 2026) China’s trade growth strengthened further in September, with both exports and imports expanding rapidly. Higher prices of semiconductors and key commodities are flattering the figures, especially on... 14th October 2026 · 4 mins read
China Rapid Response China Consumer & Producer Prices (Sep. 2026) Higher global energy prices continued to push up producer price inflation in September, but the impact was limited to a few narrow areas. Consumer price inflation also picked up, but core inflation... 14th October 2026 · 2 mins read
India Economics Update ECL transition: an inflection point for India’s banks India’s transition to Expected Credit Loss (ECL) provisioning in April 2027 will reshape how banks account for risk. By requiring forward-looking loss estimates rather than waiting for defaults to... 13th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Chart Pack Japan Chart Pack (October 2026) Our Japan Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. There are no signs that higher interest rates are resulting in tighter financial conditions or... 13th October 2026 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Seoul’s housing boom complicates the BoK’s next move House price growth in Korea has accelerated, but the renewed strength is largely confined to Seoul. This is a concern for the central bank but, for now, we think officials are more likely to tighten... 12th October 2026 · 2 mins read
India Economics Weekly Parsing the RBI’s messaging, US Green Card curbs The RBI kicked off its tightening cycle this week with a 25bp hike to the repo rate (to 5.50%) and Governor Sanjay Malhotra's worries about a "generalisation of inflation" suggest to us that further... 9th October 2026 · 3 mins read
China Economics Weekly PBOC pushes back against RMB undervaluation claims The PBOC has attempted to set the record straight on the nature of its FX intervention and refute claims that currency depreciation is driving China’s soaring trade surplus. While we agree that a... 9th October 2026 · 7 mins read
China Scenarios China Economic Scenarios - Q4 2026 China Scenarios brings together Capital Economics’ best-in-class research and proprietary data on China with Fathom’s world-leading scenario modelling and proprietary data. It contains six thematic... 9th October 2026 · 1 min read
