Japan Economics Weekly Decline in public debt to GDP ratio has further to run Japan’s ratio of gross government debt to GDP fell has fallen 200% for the first time since 2017 as the return of inflation has resulted in a strong improvement in the budget balance and boosted... 30th October 2026 · 4 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Bank of Japan Meeting (October 26) The Bank of Japan delivered no surprises when it kept its policy rate unchanged today and declared victory in the fight against deflation. We expect the next rate to come in December, with rates... 30th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Activity & Labour Market (Sep. 26), Tokyo CPI (Oct. 26) The end-month data rush shows that economic activity is holding up, the labour market remains very tight and inflation continues to strengthen. Accordingly, we’re sticking to our forecast that the... 30th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Financial Risk Monitor EM Financial Risk Monitor (Oct. 2026) Our proprietary financial risk indicators show that most countries remain well placed to withstand recent shocks, including rising energy prices and higher global bond yields. Our aggregate EM... 29th October 2026 · 8 mins read
Asia Economics Update Is Bank Indonesia the new CBRT? Bank Indonesia’s apparent struggle to trade off the need to shore up the rupiah and support the economy (perhaps under political pressure) bears some similarities with Turkey’s experience over much of... 29th October 2026 · 3 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Oct. 2026) Our China Activity Proxy suggests that growth weakened further in Q3, in contrast to official figures which showed growth picking up. Exports continued to outperform on the back of strong AI and green... 29th October 2026 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update AI boom insulating Asia from the energy shock, for now Asia has proved surprisingly resilient to the energy price shock triggered by the war in Iran. Subsidies and price controls have shielded consumers from much of the increase in global energy prices... 29th October 2026 · 3 mins read
China Activity Monitor CAP: Growth starting to recover Our China Activity Proxy suggests that growth picked up in September as the drag from summer typhoons eased. But growth remains weak by recent standards and increasingly reliant on external demand... 28th October 2026 · 2 mins read
India Economics Update RBI’s FX war chest is smaller than it looks The RBI’s FX reserves look plentiful but the headline figure overstates the central bank’s firepower, owing to a swollen forward book and sizeable holdings of gold. A renewed, sustained bout of rupee... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Malaysia’s brain drain is harming its economic potential Malaysia’s brain drain is a longstanding challenge to its ambition to become a high-income economy. A large diaspora, much of it concentrated in Singapore, includes a significant number of skilled... 27th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea: strong, but unbalanced growth Korea recorded another quarter of strong growth in Q3, once again supported by robust export growth. Investment also picked up, but private consumption remained weak. We expect growth to remain... 27th October 2026 · 2 mins read
India Economics Update India steps up efforts to bolster oil security India’s oil imports from the Middle East have rebounded in the past couple of months as supplies through the Strait of Hormuz have gradually recovered and the discount on Russian oil has largely... 26th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Focus Korea: AI and demographics brighten the long-term outlook Korea’s trend growth has slowed over the past few decades, reflecting weaker productivity and slower workforce growth. But we think this slowdown has come to an end, with rising female labour force... 26th October 2026 · 11 mins read
India Economics Weekly MPC minutes point to further policy tightening The MPC minutes of the RBI’s October MPC meeting – in which the repo rate was hiked by 25bps to 5.50% – give a fairly strong indication that the committee will follow up with further tightening over... 23rd October 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Two years of Prabowo: Indonesia heading down the wrong path Indonesia’s President Prabowo marked two years in office this week and, while the headline economic figures look good, his populist, interventionist approach to governing poses risks to Indonesia’s... 23rd October 2026 · 8 mins read
