Capital Daily Where to hide from the bond market rout Most assets would be affected if US yields continued to rise, but some – including bonds in economies with less-ingrained price pressures and weak currencies – might be the best of a bad bunch. 30th September 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Consumer Prices (Aug. 26) Measures of core inflation didn’t strengthen any further in August, supporting our view that the RBA’s tightening cycle is likely at an end. 30th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Industrial Production & Retail Sales (Aug. 26) The sharp fall in industrial output in August probably reflects disruptions from the Kumamoto earthquake and won’t be sustained 30th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Asia Economic Outlook AI boosting Asian growth, but support will fade Booming exports of AI-related products have helped offset the drag from higher energy prices and should continue to support growth across most of Asia in the near term. The AI boom is not feeding... 29th September 2026 · 25 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Tight EM credit spreads mask lingering fiscal risks Measures of EM fiscal risk premia are very low, which partly reflects genuine policy improvements in some high-risk economies. But a few countries such as Mozambique and Tunisia still face the risk of... 29th September 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBA keeps its options open after hawkish hike The RBA hiked rates as expected and kept the door open to further tightening. We still think the cash rate has peaked, as the cooling labour market should help reduce capacity pressures. However, the... 29th September 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting (Sep. 2026) The RBA hiked rates as expected, but it left the door ajar for further tightening in the months ahead. While we continue to believe that the cash rate has now peaked, risks to this view are growing. 29th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Household Spending Indicator (Aug. 26) The weakness in household spending in August suggests that the recent acceleration in consumption is already losing momentum. That probably won’t prevent the RBA from hiking rates at its meeting later... 29th September 2026 · 2 mins read
China Economics Update US-China tariff tweaks don’t change the bigger picture The US and China have announced significant tariff cuts on goods covered by the new bilateral Board of Trade. But the scheme only covers “non-sensitive” goods that make up a small share of China’s... 28th September 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Asia Chart Pack (September 2026) Our Asia Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Most economies in Asia are on course to record solid growth this year, helped by strong... 28th September 2026 · 0 mins read
Asset Allocation Update Poor returns from China’s assets are structural, not cyclical Despite China’s apparently robust economic growth over the past decade, the returns from its stock market have been poor and its bond yields are very low. We think the next decade will be similarly... 28th September 2026 · 4 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Sep. 2026) Our China Activity Proxy suggests that growth slowed further to just 1.3% y/y in August. This reflects lingering typhoon disruptions and continued weakness in fiscal spending, with local governments... 28th September 2026 · 1 min read
China Economics Weekly President Xi’s US visit: Little beyond a short reprieve The lack of any tangible outcomes from the Trump-Xi summit, beyond a shorter-than-expected extension of the current trade truce, highlights the deep distrust between the two sides. While more... 25th September 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Rupiah and rate hikes, Singapore inflation rises again Bank Indonesia eft interest rates on hold at 5.75% for a third consecutive meeting on Wednesday but recent experience suggests that further sharp falls in the rupiah in the coming weeks would push the... 25th September 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economic Outlook Near-term relief but headwinds remain Stronger fiscal spending should lift growth over the final months of the year. But we expect growth to slow further over the medium term. 25th September 2026 · 16 mins read
India Economics Weekly Power struggles Coal stocks at India’s power plants have plummeted in recent months as strong electricity demand and monsoon disruption have squeezed supplies. This poses a downside risk to growth and an upside risk... 25th September 2026 · 3 mins read
