India Economics Update AI and the evolution of India’s services exports India’s services exports have long been associated with low-cost call centres and business process outsourcing (BPO). But in recent years, multinationals have been building product development... 15th July 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily What China’s GDP “miss” means for its markets China’s weaker-than-expected Q2 GDP isn’t reason, in our view, to throw in the towel on its markets: we remain fairly positive on the country’s equities, bonds, and currency. 15th July 2026 · 4 mins read
China Rapid Response China Bank Lending & Broad Credit (Jun.) Year-on-year growth in aggregate financing to the real economy (AFRE – the PBOC’s preferred measure of broad credit) fell sharply from 7.7% in May to a fresh record low of 7.4% in June. Both bank loan... 15th July 2026 · 2 mins read
China Rapid Response China GDP (Q2) & Activity (Jun. 2026) The official GDP figures showed a sharper-than-expected slowdown in Q2, bringing them closer in line with our China Activity Proxy (CAP). This may largely represent a greater willingness to... 15th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Data centre boom making the RBA’s job harder Australia’s data centre boom has yet to generate a broad-based inflationary impulse. But by adding demand to an already stretched construction sector, it risks prolonging capacity constraints and... 15th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chart Pack (July 2026) Strengthening economic activity in the US is set to support a pick-up in rental growth over the next year or so, but property performance is still likely to undershoot Europe. And while renewed Iran... 14th July 2026 · 0 mins read
Japan Economics Update AI boom will only provide small boost to inflation Japan’s economy isn’t benefitting much from the surge in demand related to artificial intelligence. While higher electronics import prices should result in faster price increases for household... 14th July 2026 · 3 mins read
China Rapid Response China Merchandise Trade (Jun. 2026) Trade values took another big leg up in June. This predominantly reflects the recent surge in semiconductor prices on the back of the AI boom. But even putting that aside, foreign demand for Chinese... 14th July 2026 · 6 mins read
Capital Daily US dollar wins again, and Chinese tech stocks’ woes The US dollar is still a beneficiary from US-Iran hostilities, but it won’t necessarily fare as well as it did earlier this year even if the situation worsens. Meanwhile, Chinese tech stocks could... 13th July 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly AI fracturing is broadening out Reports that China's Ministry of Commerce has been looking into restricting foreign access to top Chinese AI models are yet another sign that the bifurcation of US and Chinese AI stacks is moving... 10th July 2026 · 8 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Bank of Korea to kick start tightening cycle A combination of above-target inflation, buoyant growth, a struggling currency, and rising property prices in Seoul all point to the Bank of Korea hiking rates by 25bp to 2.75% next week. We currently... 10th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly GPIF set to come to the bond market’s rescue Finance Minister Katayama’s announcement that the government will encourage pension funds, including the GPIF, to invest more in Japanese financial assets has helped unwind the spike in bond yields... 10th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Will Australia become an agrarian economy again? One Nation’s economic policies focus strongly on those sectors that dominated Australia’s economy in the past rather than on those that will determine its future. Unfortunately, the party’s policies... 10th July 2026 · 4 mins read
China Rapid Response China Consumer & Producer Prices (June 2026) The uptick in Chinese inflation caused by the Iran War continued to unwind in June, amid lower prices for oil and many other commodities. The latest escalation in US-Iran tensions could deliver some... 9th July 2026 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBNZ signals tightening cycle will be gradual The RBNZ’s decision to kick off its tightening cycle with a 25bp hike today came as little surprise. While the Bank made clear that further increases are likely, its emphasis on returning policy only... 8th July 2026 · 3 mins read