China Economic Outlook Growth to pick up, but imbalances will persist China’s growth should pick up over the second half of this year as fiscal support ramps up. But domestic overcapacity will remain entrenched, leaving China’s economy reliant on exports for growth. 24th June 2026 · 16 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Consumer Prices (May 2026) The continued acceleration in underlying inflation in May means that the RBA can’t declare victory in the war on inflation just yet. Accordingly, we continue to believe it will deliver one final 25bp... 24th June 2026 · 2 mins read
China Activity Monitor CAP: Growth edges up, despite weak fiscal support Our China Activity Proxy suggests that China’s economy gained some momentum in May though, at around 3%, the economy is still expanding at a much slower pace than official figures for Q2 are likely to... 23rd June 2026 · 1 min read
Capital Daily What to make of tech stocks’ latest tumble Today’s big falls in tech stocks without any major catalyst is another illustration of rising volatility in these stocks, a result of what increasingly looks like frothy earnings expectations and/or... 23rd June 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economic Outlook RBI will need to hike interest rates before long The energy shock has taken a toll on India’s economy but GDP growth should still average around 6.5% in 2026-27, an enviable rate by global standards. Rising food prices on account of a weak monsoon... 23rd June 2026 · 16 mins read
Japan Economic Outlook BoJ will lift rates to neutral level of 2% by end-2027 The economy will lose some momentum over the coming quarters as higher inflation weighs on real household incomes. But the Bank of Japan will be more worried about the upside risks to inflation and we... 23rd June 2026 · 18 mins read
Capital Daily Strait jitters, bond divergence, and more UK politics Renewed US-Iran tensions have caused a bit of concern in markets at the start of the week, but as long as negotiations press ahead, global bonds could continue to diverge both from oil prices and from... 22nd June 2026 · 6 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Indonesia back in the spotlight, hawkish central banks MSCI is expected to announce on Tuesday whether Indonesia will retain its emerging market status, with recent reforms and press reports suggesting that a downgrade to frontier market status is... 19th June 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly PBOC to narrow rate corridor, no signs of healthier credit The PBOC has announced plans to increase its control over overnight interest rates, marking another step in its efforts to adopt a more orthodox policy making approach. Still, the PBOC's multiple... 19th June 2026 · 5 mins read
India Economics Weekly G7 diplomacy, monsoon concerns Prime Minister Modi and President Trump met in-person for the first time in 15 months on the sidelines of the G7 Summit this week. In that time, relations between the US and India have deteriorated... 19th June 2026 · 4 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Urgency for further monetary tightening diminishing The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz vindicates the BoJ’s assessment that downside risks to economic activity have declined. But the resulting plunge in crude oil prices also means that inflationary... 19th June 2026 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly RBNZ on track to hike, One Nation gains ground The 0.8% q/q rise in New Zealand's GDP in Q1 was flattered by residual seasonality and overstated the economy's underlying momentum. Even so, with the RBNZ increasingly concerned about inflation risks... 19th June 2026 · 5 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Consumer Prices (May 26) While the government’s fuel price caps have so far kept a lid on consumer prices, we expect the pass-through of higher energy costs to utilities charges and other goods and services to lift inflation... 19th June 2026 · 2 mins read