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GDP growth boosted by strong export performance

The third-quarter GDP figures, due for release late this week, could provide a further boost to Clinton’s chances of winning. Although if our estimate that GDP growth picked up to 2.5% annualised is accurate, Trump will presumably claim the data have been rigged. There is a real risk that GDP growth comes in much lower than that, however, in which case it might be Trump getting the late boost.

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