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Policy easing likely to focus on weaker ruble

Pressure is mounting on Russian policymakers to act to stimulate the slowing economy. But unlike in 2008-09, there is little room for a large-scale fiscal stimulus. And substantial cuts in interest rates are unlikely given that rates are already close to zero in real terms. Accordingly, we think that a weaker ruble will form a key part of the effort to revive growth.

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