China Economics Update Deflationary pressures loom again The m/m declines in both consumer and producer prices in July largely reflect the pullback in global oil prices. But falling prices also underscore that domestic deflationary pressures remain... 10th August 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Update Indonesia – welcome signs of improvement The nomination today of Bank Indonesia’s senior deputy governor, Destry Damayanti, as the sole candidate to replace Perry Warjiyo is a welcome development. It should help ease concerns over the... 10th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily US CPI may prove a sterner test for markets than payrolls Equity markets shrugged off last week’s big downside surprise in US payrolls but would probably find negative news on US inflation harder to absorb. That would also put renewed pressure on the yen... 10th August 2026 · 6 mins read
Asia Economics Update New Thai government is squandering a rare chance for reform Thailand’s re-elected government began its new term with a strong mandate and a rare opportunity to pursue structural reform to boost long-term growth. Six months on, that opportunity risks being... 10th August 2026 · 3 mins read
China Economics Weekly US import bans are a double-edged sword The US is considering banning imports of Chinese optical transceivers, according to a Reuters report published this week. While a transceiver ban alone wouldn't do much to dent exports, the risk for... 7th August 2026 · 6 mins read
India Economics Weekly Data centre constraints, equities to outperform, July CPI Reports this week that Google’s planned AI data centre in Andhra Pradesh is facing stiff opposition over its environmental impact have highlighted the challenges facing India’s digital ambitions... 7th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly BoK hawkish as inflation eases across Asia Inflation in Korea fell in August, but hawkish minutes from the BOK’s July meeting suggest that further tightening is likely. While it will be a close call, we expect the next hike to come in October... 7th August 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Update Philippines: war and corruption campaign weigh on growth The Philippines slowed further in the second quarter of the year as the impact of the ongoing anti-corruption campaign and higher inflation brought about by the crisis in the Middle East weighed... 7th August 2026 · 3 mins read
China Rapid Response China Merchandise Trade (Jul. 2026) The boom in Chinese trade slowed a touch in July but the big picture is that export and import values remain elevated, helped by soaring global demand for electronics and green tech products. Crude... 7th August 2026 · 7 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly FX Intervention won’t fix Japan’s credibility problem Joint US-Japan intervention provided some initial support to the yen. However, the currency has since given back some of its gains, and we don’t believe official purchases can substitute for a... 7th August 2026 · 4 mins read
FX Markets Update Your questions on Japan’s markets answered The yen had weakened to a 40-year low against the dollar before FX intervention prompted a rebound last week, while the 10-year JGB yield is close to multi-year highs. This Update answers key client... 6th August 2026 · 5 mins read
FX Markets Update 2024-style carry trade unwind still appears unlikely While carry trade positioning appears to have increased over the past couple of years, we doubt the recent yen intervention alone will trigger a carry trade unwind and a rapid yen appreciation along... 5th August 2026 · 4 mins read
Japan Economics Focus How worried should investors be about Takaichi’s policies? While PM Takaichi intends to abandon “excessive austerity” and is trying to steer the BoJ in a more dovish direction, we don’t believe that her policies pose a major risk for Japan’s economic outlook... 5th August 2026 · 17 mins read
Global Economics Update Who is most exposed to an AI earnings bust? An AI earnings bust need not be synonymous with a macroeconomic bust. Some scenarios – such as falling AI prices or higher input costs – would mainly redistribute income between AI producers and users... 5th August 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Update RBI keeps rates on hold, but hikes likely soon The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.25% today as it continues to monitor “the uncertainties of the West Asia conflict”. But we still think that rising inflation will... 5th August 2026 · 3 mins read
