China Economic Outlook Near-term relief but headwinds remain Stronger fiscal spending should lift growth over the final months of the year. But we expect growth to slow further over the medium term. 25th September 2026 · 16 mins read
India Chart Pack India Chart Pack (Sep. 2026) After a very strong first half of the year, India’s economy is set to cool but annual GDP growth should still average an impressive 7% from 2026-2028. Rising food prices on account of a weak monsoon... 22nd September 2026 · 1 min read
India Economic Outlook Stage is set for RBI rate hikes After a very strong first half of the year, India’s economy is set to cool but annual GDP growth should still average 7% from 2026-2028, an enviable rate by global standards. Rising food prices on... 16th September 2026 · 17 mins read
China Rapid Response China Bank Lending & Broad Credit (Aug.) Growth in broad credit slowed to a fresh record low, reflecting weaker growth in both bank and non-bank financing. Most concerning is the continued weakness in household credit demand, with household... 14th September 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly The RBI’s fistful of dollars The RBI's efforts to attract foreign-currency deposits have proven more successful than expected, but the resulting surge in liquidity has eased monetary conditions and may complicate efforts to... 11th September 2026 · 3 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Aug. 2026) Our China Activity Proxy suggests that growth slowed sharply in July, reflecting disruptions to construction and industry from typhoons as well as the ongoing drag from weak fiscal spending. But... 28th August 2026 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Is Brazil facing a corporate debt crisis? A growing number of Brazilian companies are seeking to restructure their debts, and the backdrop of slowing growth and high interest rates will probably cause a further rise in corporate defaults... 20th August 2026 · 3 mins read
China Economics Weekly PBOC won’t defer rate cuts indefinitely In its Q2 monetary policy report published earlier this week, the PBOC vowed to make timely adjustments to policy but stopped short of signalling rate cuts. For now, the central bank seems focussed on... 14th August 2026 · 5 mins read
China Rapid Response Bank Lending & Broad Credit (Jul.) Bank loan growth slowed for the 16th consecutive month in July, hitting yet another record low of 5.1% y/y, down from 5.2% in June. Household demand remained particularly weak, with household loan... 14th August 2026 · 2 mins read
Global Economics Update Private credit & AI debt fears miss the bigger picture While private credit and debt-financing of AI investment dominate the headlines about vulnerabilities surrounding corporate debt, the big picture is that business finances are in a healthy state... 13th August 2026 · 4 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Saudi recovery to be hampered by lending slowdown Private sector credit growth in Saudi Arabia has slowed sharply over the past year and we think it’s likely to act as a headwind to the recovery in non-oil sectors from the Iran war. 11th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Russia under pressure, financial risks across the region The challenges facing Russia’s economy increased further this week amid reports of more restrictive fuel export bans, spillovers from Ukraine’s drone attacks on logistics firm Wildberries and further... 31st July 2026 · 6 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (July 26) At around 3.2% y/y, China’s growth in Q2 was over 1%-pt weaker than official figures suggest. But growth has held steady in the face of the Iran war. Exports have continued to surge, largely driven by... 30th July 2026 · 0 mins read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global Economics Chart Pack (July 2026) Global growth appears to be regaining momentum, led by the US among advanced economies. We expect this trend to continue, supported by strong AI investment despite the risk posed by renewed... 30th July 2026 · 1 min read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (Jun. 2026) June’s money and lending figures show that the near-term outlook for the housing market remains weak, households may be funding some of the decent spending in June by lowering their saving rate, and... 29th July 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone banks might be overdoing the pessimism The ECB’s Q2 Bank Lending Survey (BLS) was quite downbeat, but we suspect that both bank lending and GDP growth will continue to be stronger than this survey implies. This would be consistent with the... 21st July 2026 · 3 mins read
