China Scenarios China Economic Scenarios - Q4 2026 China Scenarios brings together Capital Economics’ best-in-class research and proprietary data on China with Fathom’s world-leading scenario modelling and proprietary data. It contains six thematic... 9th October 2026 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly Iraq devalues, more Qatar gas soon, Jordan growth Iraq's devaluation of the dinar this week highlights the strains in the economy from the hit to its oil revenues. But given the boost to the public finances from the devaluation, as well as limited FX... 8th October 2026 · 5 mins read
Capital Daily How the yen found its feet amid the bond sell-off The yen has, surprisingly, been one of the best performers this year amid the rise in bond yields; we think it will fare even better once they fall back. 8th October 2026 · 3 mins read
FX Markets Focus How undervalued is the renminbi? Even though the renminbi is at its strongest level against the US dollar since 2022, in real trade-weighted terms it remains close to its weakest in more than a decade. In our assessment, it is... 6th October 2026 · 19 mins read
Asset Allocation Outlook Bonds likely to rebound; equities on borrowed time We continue to think the AI rally is reaching its final stages, even if recent headwinds to equity markets owe more to surging government bond yields than a re-assessment of the prospects for tech... 30th September 2026 · 28 mins read
Capital Daily Where to hide from the bond market rout Most assets would be affected if US yields continued to rise, but some – including bonds in economies with less-ingrained price pressures and weak currencies – might be the best of a bad bunch. 30th September 2026 · 3 mins read
Latin America Economics Update How will Brazil’s markets respond to the election? The experience from Brazil’s 2018 and 2022 elections is that a victory for Flávio Bolsonaro would support equities (a boost of 10-20% seems plausible) and pull local currency bond yields down sharply... 28th September 2026 · 7 mins read
Africa Chart Pack Africa Chart Pack (Sep. 26) Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa should remain resilient despite high energy prices and tighter global financial conditions. We’re optimistic relative to the consensus on growth in much of the region... 28th September 2026 · 0 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Sep. 2026) Our China Activity Proxy suggests that growth slowed further to just 1.3% y/y in August. This reflects lingering typhoon disruptions and continued weakness in fiscal spending, with local governments... 28th September 2026 · 1 min read
Africa Economic Outlook Africa resilient but pockets of vulnerability remain Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa should remain resilient despite high energy prices and tighter global financial conditions. We’re positive relative to the consensus on growth in much of the region... 25th September 2026 · 19 mins read
Capital Daily Two points for markets on the US-China trade talks We think the contentious US-China trade negotiations are much more important for Chinese equities than US ones. Meanwhile, the current backdrop favours a further renminbi rally. 25th September 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Economics Update SNB likely to sit this tightening cycle out The SNB’s decision to leave interest rates on hold today was in line with economists’ and investors’ expectations. But in contrast to the prevailing view in the market that the Bank will hike rates at... 24th September 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily BoJ undermines yen rally, again Those hoping that the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) latest meeting would help deliver a stronger yen were, once again, left disappointed. At this point, any yen rally will likely need to be driven by a shift... 18th September 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily Warsh puts his foot down, boosting the dollar While much of the drop in long-term government bond yields over the past couple of days reflects relief from lower oil prices, policy news from the Fed and the BoE (which has slowed its QT programme)... 17th September 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economic Outlook Stage is set for RBI rate hikes After a very strong first half of the year, India’s economy is set to cool but annual GDP growth should still average 7% from 2026-2028, an enviable rate by global standards. Rising food prices on... 16th September 2026 · 17 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack Emerging Markets Chart Pack (September 2026) EM growth appears to have softened at the start of Q3, but we still think it will accelerate in the coming quarters. As things stand, it doesn’t look like EM central banks will respond to the renewed... 15th September 2026 · 1 min read
