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Romanian political tensions put FX reserve buffers at risk

The National Bank of Romania (NBR) appears to have stepped up intervention in the FX market to defend the leu following the recent bout of political turmoil. For now, FX reserve coverage looks adequate and the NBR can probably continue to intervene at its current pace until early next year. But the key point is that Romania’s buffers are being eroded, leaving it vulnerable to a renewed escalation of the euro-crisis.

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