Latin America Economics Update The macro implications of Lat Am’s shift to the right The political shift to the right in Latin America is likely to lead to a stronger geopolitical alignment with the US and economic policies that reduce country risk premia. Economic reforms may allow... 29th July 2026 · 5 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly De la Espriella’s challenges, Copom seeks to clarify The market reaction to Abelardo de la Espriella’s victory in Colombia’s presidential election hasn’t been as buoyant as might have been hoped, which may reflect concerns about the difficulties he will... 26th June 2026 · 5 mins read
Latin America Chart Pack Latin America Chart Pack (June 2026) Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. The US-Iran deal and fall in oil prices reduces the tailwind for the region’s... 24th June 2026 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Colombia joins Latin America’s shift to the right The victory for right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella in Colombia’s presidential election should pave the way for more pro-business policymaking, tighter fiscal policy and improved relations with the US... 22nd June 2026 · 3 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Colombia votes, Copom confusion Right-wing candidate de la Espriella is well placed to secure Colombia’s presidency on Sunday, paving the way for a shift towards more business-friendly policies and fiscal austerity. But he will... 19th June 2026 · 6 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Diverging rate paths Latin America has been resilient to the energy shock but other headwinds are likely to hold back regional growth to around 2% over the coming years, making it the worst-performing EM region. The... 18th June 2026 · 21 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Fujimori edges ahead, CPI prints, Copom to hold It's looking increasingly likely that right-wing candidate Fujimori will secure Peru's presidency. She's likely to govern on a conservative, market-friendly platform, but her ability to push through... 12th June 2026 · 5 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Colombia shifts right, 301 tariffs, El Niño Abelardo de la Espriella’s victory in the first round of Colombia’s presidential election increases the likelihood of a shift to more pro-market policymaking and improved relations with the US. But we... 5th June 2026 · 5 mins read
Africa Economics Update Ethiopia: what to expect from Abiy’s next term Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and his Prosperity Party will almost certainly win the election taking place today but the next administration faces a host of challenges. The government still... 1st June 2026 · 7 mins read
Latin America Economics Update De la Espriella in pole position but faces hurdles The strong showing for right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella in the first round of Colombia’s presidential election will be welcomed by investors. A further rally in the peso and a decline in... 1st June 2026 · 3 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Brazil inflation, COP drop, Venezuela’s restructuring The latest macro data keep the door open to monetary easing in Brazil, but a rise in energy prices or an escalation of the scandal involving presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro that weighs more... 15th May 2026 · 5 mins read
Latin America Economics Update Colombia’s fiscal crossroads: continuity or austerity? A victory for left-wing Iván Cepeda in Colombia’s presidential election would probably continue the Petro government’s track record of running large budget deficits, causing Colombia’s sovereign risk... 13th May 2026 · 5 mins read
Europe Economics Update Italy: fiscal risks rising After three years of remarkable stability in Italy, a decline in Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s popularity and higher energy prices mean political and fiscal risks are rising again. 7th May 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economics Update West Bengal victory is pivotal for PM Modi’s BJP The key takeaway from the results of the recent round of state elections – West Bengal in particular – is that Prime Minister Modi’s BJP is weathering the energy shock without a meaningful loss of... 5th May 2026 · 3 mins read
Latin America Economics Update A primer on Colombia’s high-stakes election Colombians head to the polls on 31st May in an election which has major implications for the outlook for the economy and financial markets. This Update sets out the state of play, highlights the key... 29th April 2026 · 8 mins read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Emerging Europe Chart Pack (April 2026) Our Emerging Europe Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. The energy shock presents a headwind to most of Emerging Europe by worsening... 21st April 2026 · 1 min read