Asia Economics Update Australia pauses, but one more rate cut is on the way The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its policy rate at 3.5% today. It probably won't be long until the RBA cuts again, but it is nearing the end of its loosening cycle. 7th August 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Indonesia continues to outperform Indonesia’s economy picked up slightly in the second quarter, despite weaker export demand. Indonesia is weathering the global slowdown well compared with other countries in the region. We expect GDP... 6th August 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly No quick fix to India and Pakistan’s power problems India attracted international headlines for all the wrong reasons (again) following massive power cuts that left half of its population without electricity for two days. Power cuts are alsoa big issue... 3rd August 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Manufacturing deteriorates further The July PMIs showed that conditions within Asia’s manufacturing sectors are getting worse. A silver lining is that price pressures continue to ease, which should make more policymakers comfortable... 1st August 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Asia's central banks back in rate-cutting mode Central banks in the Philippines, Korea and Vietnam have cut their policy rates over the past month in response to the deterioration in global demand. Q2 GDP data out so far in Asia have been soft... 31st July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Taiwan’s poor export outlook to prompt policy stimulus Taiwan’s export-oriented economy is struggling amid the global slowdown. We expect the global backdrop to remain difficult, while local inflation should stay among the lowest in Asia. Accordingly, we... 31st July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Reserve Bank of India takes hawkish tone While today’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged was expected, the accompanying statement is a bit more newsworthy. It makes gloomy reading. The central bank cut its growth forecast, increased... 31st July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update What will be the effect of India’s drought? India is less vulnerable to a failed monsoon than it was a decade ago. But, if it persists, this year’s disappointing rainfall may still have a significant negative impact on output, inflation and the... 30th July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly No need to worry over spike in agricultural prices The prices of many agricultural commodities have risen strongly over the past couple of months, raising fears of a sharp rise in inflation across the region. However, we believe the recent spike in... 27th July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korea’s weak growth to prompt more policy loosening Today’s GDP data from Korea show that the economy grew at a sub-trend pace in the second quarter. Given that tackling inflation is no longer policymakers’ top priority, more stimulus measures are... 26th July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Rate cut in the Philippines, more loosening likely by year-end The Philippines’ central bank (BSP) today cut its policy rate by 25bp to 3.75%. With inflationary pressures set to remain low and global demand likely to disappoint this year, we expect further policy... 26th July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economic Outlook Weak global demand to hamper growth Compared with other emerging regions, Asia is relatively well placed to withstand sluggish global growth. For one thing, policymakers have the ability and willingness to significantly loosen monetary... 26th July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Political tensions on the rise in Thailand Political tensions have intensified in Thailand due to the government’s efforts to amend the constitution. There is a significant chance that the proposed reforms could trigger a political deadlock... 20th July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Indian inflation eases slightly, further rate cuts on horizon There has been no let-up in the bad news from India. Economic activity remained very weak in the second quarter of the year while inflation is still above 7%. This combination is set to persist in the... 20th July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update How would Asian bonds perform if risk aversion increased? Asian sovereign bonds have performed well in the years since the 2008-09 global crisis, offering investors reasonable yields without excessive risk. But some may still face sell-offs if global... 19th July 2012 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly How is China’s slowdown affecting emerging Asia? Figures released on Friday showed that China’s economy grew by just 7.6% y/y in the second quarter, the weakest pace since the first quarter of 2009. The lead article this week examines the effect of... 13th July 2012 · 1 min read