Latin America Chart Pack Venezuela’s economic crisis deepens Venezuela’s government has responded to the eruption of violent protests in the country over the past month with yet another overhaul of its exchange rate system – the aim being to provide more... 28th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Calm returns to Lat. Am. markets Following the turmoil experienced during the first few weeks of this year, financial markets across much of Latin America have stabilised over the past month. In most countries, bond yields have... 25th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexican growth close to bottoming out The slowdown in Mexican GDP growth to 0.7% y/y in Q4 means that the economy grew by just 1.1% in 2013 – its weakest performance since 2009, and its second weakest performance since 2002. Nonetheless... 21st February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Focus Five reasons why we’re still upbeat on Mexico GDP data due to be released tomorrow are likely to show that Mexico grew by just 1.0% y/y in Q4 of last year, and by only 1.2% over 2013 as a whole. Even so, we think that there are still good reasons... 20th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Latin America’s wasted decade Concerns about widening current account deficits have been a key factor driving the recent turbulence in financial markets in Latin America. But while the deterioration in the current account... 18th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update No evidence that weaker currencies are fuelling higher inflation Inflation was lower-than-expected across much of Latin America last month, which may help to dampen fears that weak currencies will fuel higher inflation. Despite this, another 50bp interest rate hike... 7th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update More reasons to expect Mexican industry to outperform January’s manufacturing surveys add to the evidence that Mexico will outperform Brazil over the coming months. While Mexican manufacturing growth is on course to accelerate towards 5% y/y, there is... 4th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Argentina devalues as Lat Am markets routed again Latin America’s financial markets have been among the hardest hit in the storm that has swept through the emerging world since the start of the year. The attention has focused on Argentina, where the... 31st January 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Will market turmoil trigger interest rate hikes? The recent market turmoil increases the likelihood of another 50bp interest rate hike in Brazil, but policymakers elsewhere in the region are unlikely to tighten monetary policy unless the currency... 30th January 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update A sluggish start to 2014 Latin American financial markets have had a soft start to 2014, with currencies continuing to fall against the US dollar, benchmark equities declining and the regional EMBI bond yields rising. Looking... 23rd January 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update 2014: a stellar year for Mexican industry The decline in Mexican industrial production in November will test the patience of even the biggest Mexico bulls. Nonetheless, with US demand going from strength-to-strength, in this Watch we explain... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexico revving up to overtake Brazil The contrasting performances of the automotive sectors in Brazil and Mexico last year give an indication of the outlook for the region’s two largest economies. Booming vehicle sales in Mexico suggest... 9th January 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Markets resist “Taper Tantrum” Financial markets in Latin America have for the most part shrugged off the Fed's decision to taper its asset purchases under QE3. Currencies have dipped a little following the decision, but the... 20th December 2013 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Markets to come under renewed pressure in 2014 Latin America's financial markets have stabilised during the past month, but are likely to come under pressure again in 2014 as global monetary conditions tighten and commodity prices fall. We expect... 18th December 2013 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexican energy reform sets scene for stronger growth The landmark reform to open up the Mexican oil industry to private sector investment should alleviate concerns that the government’s ambitious reform programme has stalled before it has got off the... 13th December 2013 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update A look ahead to 2014 elections The election calendar in Latin America is fairly quiet next year and even the two standout events - presidential elections in Colombia (in May) and Brazil (in October) - are likely to be relatively... 12th December 2013 · 1 min read