Global Economics Update First signs of advanced economy fallout from Iran war The marked increase in inflation across advanced economies has yet to cause real spending to contract, but the widespread decline in consumer sentiment and hiring intentions points to worse to come... 12th May 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily Strait still closed; Trump goes to China; Starmer clings on Neither US-Iran negotiations nor the Trump-Xi summit appear to offer much cause for cheer, and UK politics are inching towards another precipice, but equity markets appear determined to party on. 11th May 2026 · 5 mins read
China Rapid Response China Consumer & Producer Prices (Apr. 2026) The fallout from the Iran War pushed up inflation again in April but price pressures remain narrow in scope and aren't likely to build into a wider reflationary impulse. Inflation looks set to climb a... 11th May 2026 · 2 mins read
China Rapid Response China Merchandise Trade (Apr. 2026) Higher oil prices pushed up import values last month. But soaring chip prices are having an even bigger impact on China’s trade data, pushing up both exports and imports. Price effects aside, the big... 11th May 2026 · 3 mins read
China Economics Weekly Trump-Xi summit will buy time, not resolve differences Next week's summit between Xi and Trump seems unlikely to deliver much beyond a continuation of the existing truce, although a shift in US language on Taiwan in exchange for pressure on Iran or large... 8th May 2026 · 8 mins read
India Economics Weekly Will India’s electronics hub get a new lead man? Tamil Nadu’s election result has introduced new uncertainty into India's most important electronics manufacturing hub. Actor-turned-politician C Joseph Vijay’s TVK party has fallen just short of an... 8th May 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Stimulus in Thailand, Korean inflation under control Thailand is launching a 400bn baht (2% of GDP) stimulus to cut living costs and boost renewables, though the spending risks pushing public debt towards—and potentially through—the government’s 70% of... 8th May 2026 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Risks remain tilted towards BoJ holding its fire We suspect the Bank of Japan won't read too much into the slowdown in core inflation in Tokyo in April, nor will it see the recent rally in the yen as a precursor to softer imported inflation. However... 8th May 2026 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Spending growth set to slow regardless of Budget While Treasurer Jim Chalmers has indicated that the government will unveil large savings in the upcoming Budget, most of those will probably be used to finance higher spending. The key point though is... 8th May 2026 · 5 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Labour Cash Earnings (Mar. 26) While wage growth softened a little in March, it remains strong enough to prompt the Bank of Japan to hike rates as soon as downside risks from the Iran War start to abate. 8th May 2026 · 2 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Student housing investment set to diversify Investment in student accommodation appears to be turning a corner after several lean years. Demand fundamentals are expected to support a further recovery over the next decade, though geographic... 7th May 2026 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Higher energy prices will lift building costs On their own, the recent surge in crude oil prices could lift construction costs by around 4%. However, the bigger picture is that in contrast to the previous energy shock in 2022, conditions in... 7th May 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Philippines: stagflation nation The Philippines is going through a period of stagflation, with a combination of slowing (and very weak) GDP growth and high and rising inflation placing the central bank in an unenviable position... 7th May 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (May 2026) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Inflation will rise well above target in both Australia and New Zealand as a result of the oil price... 7th May 2026 · 1 min read
