Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Private Capex Survey (Q2 2023) We don’t think the ongoing strength in private fixed investment will last. However, the balance of risks to our outlook for activity is now tilted somewhat to the upside. 31st August 2023 · 2 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Industrial Production & Retail Sales (Jul. 23) 31st August 2023 · 2 mins read
Bank of Canada Watch No need for Bank to hike again Inflation has surprised to the upside of the Bank of Canada’s forecasts but, given signs of slower GDP growth and looser labour market conditions, the Bank should be happy keeping interest rates on... 30th August 2023 · 6 mins read
US Commercial Property Rapid Response US Metro Employment (Jul.) Employment growth in July was near the average seen in 2023 thus far, at a seasonally-adjusted 0.5% 3m/3m across the 30 metros we cover. But the disappointing performance of information jobs continues... 30th August 2023 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response GDP (Q2), ADP (Aug.), Advance Economic Indicators (Jul.) 30th August 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Credit (Jul. 2023) The drag on bank lending from higher interest rates grew further in July, particularly in the housing market. We think this effect will intensify as the Bank of England presses ahead with another 25... 30th August 2023 · 3 mins read
RBA Watch RBA will cut interest rates by early-2024 All of the key indicators released over the past month support our view that the Reserve Bank of Australia is now done hiking interest rates. With inflation now slowing rapidly and the economy set to... 30th August 2023 · 8 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Monthly CPI Indicator (Jul. 23) 30th August 2023 · 2 mins read
US Economics Update JOLTS data suggest labour market has normalised The July JOLTS data cast further doubt on the idea that the Fed will need to keep rates high for longer. With the job quits rate now below its pre-pandemic peak and the job openings rate also rapidly... 29th August 2023 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Jun.) The limited supply of existing homes for sale helped house prices rise for the fifth consecutive month in June, according to Case-Shiller. Given the sizeable increase in prices in Q2 and that we... 29th August 2023 · 2 mins read
US Economics Update SAVE to soften blow as student loan payments resume The SAVE student loan plan eases the burden on low-income households and should reduce the economic impact as repayments resume in October. Nonetheless, with the hit to disposable incomes just one of... 29th August 2023 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Retail Sales (Jul.) We don’t believe that the healthy uptick in retail sales in July represents a second wind for the Australian consumer. Accordingly, we’re sticking with our view that the RBA’s tightening cycle is at... 28th August 2023 · 2 mins read
US Economics Weekly Fed not yet joining markets’ hawkish shift After a relatively cautious speech at Jackson Hole from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and data this week which cast doubt on the idea of an economic resurgence, we still aren’t convinced that the rise in... 25th August 2023 · 7 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Wildfires weighing on growth The worst Canadian wildfires on record appear to be behind much of the recent weakness in GDP and, with more areas now under evacuation orders, the data are likely to remain weak in the coming months. 25th August 2023 · 6 mins read
