Skip to main content

Gold to recover when higher US interest rates priced in

We think that sentiment towards gold is now excessively negative. Nonetheless, given the difficulty in valuing an asset that pays no income and the importance of safe-haven demand, which is also largely subjective, the current market mood cannot be ignored. Accordingly, we are pulling down our forecasts for the price of gold and also for silver. While we remain positive on the medium-term outlook for both metals, a strong recovery may have to wait for markets to digest the first Fed rate hike.

Subscriber content

Read this in full, free

Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.


Free. 10 articles. No card required.

By completing this form you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions for the provision of a free trial of Capital Economics' services. We take your privacy seriously and will not share your details with others without your consent. By providing your details, including your email address, you are consenting to Capital Economics sending you macroeconomic commentary and analysis. You can unsubscribe at any time. See our Privacy Policy for more information.