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Brazil’s property bubble deflates

The deflation of Brazil’s property bubble appears in most regions to be happening via a stagnation in (nominal) prices, thus allowing prices and incomes in the rest of the economy catch up. This has helped to limit the damage to the financial sector, but it makes for a long period of adjustment. We estimate that nominal property prices will have to flat-line for another 2-3 years in order to return to fair value.

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