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What next for the dollar and euro?

We have been long-term bears of the dollar and expect further falls against Asian currencies, including the yen, in 2008. But after the sharp declines in recent years, the outlook against the euro is much harder to call. On balance we now expect the euro to peak at around $1.55 against the dollar in the first half of the year, before dropping back to $1.45 by end-2008.

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