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What does oil at $70 mean for our price forecast?

Most of the excess supply in the oil market has now disappeared as a result of the voluntary and involuntary output cuts, notably by OPEC member states. However, we expect higher prices to encourage an upturn in supply later in the year, at a time of only subdued growth in demand. For this reason, we are sticking with our forecast that prices will fall back by end-2019.

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