6th October 2025 “The shift in the types of mortgages means monetary policy definitely takes longer to work its way into households’ payments,” says Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics. View article
UK inflation to peak at 4.4% in 2027, according to FT survey of economists “If energy prices stay high for longer or rise further, then CPI inflation may peak somewhere between 4.5 per cent and 5 per cent and a couple of ‘insurance’ interest rate hikes suddenly become a... 5th November 2026 · Financial Times
Bank of England set to raise rates to 4% in push to quell inflation Paul Dales, chief UK economist at consultancy Capital Economics, said a rise in the BoE’s benchmark rate in November could provide enough insurance against the risk of higher energy prices being... 2nd November 2026 · Financial Times
Britain is trying to cut its deficit quickly — can it do it mainly through tax rises? Paul Dales, economist at Capital Economics, said the UK’s effort to bear down on borrowing was a legacy of the market sell-off provoked by former prime minister Liz Truss’s so-called “mini” Budget in... 28th October 2026 · Financial Times