20th June 2025 Paul Dales, economist at the consultancy Capital Economics, said: “The sharp drop back in retail sales volumes . . . adds to other evidence that the burst of economic growth in Q1 is over.” View article
UK inflation to peak at 4.4% in 2027, according to FT survey of economists “If energy prices stay high for longer or rise further, then CPI inflation may peak somewhere between 4.5 per cent and 5 per cent and a couple of ‘insurance’ interest rate hikes suddenly become a... 5th November 2026 · Financial Times
Bank of England set to raise rates to 4% in push to quell inflation Paul Dales, chief UK economist at consultancy Capital Economics, said a rise in the BoE’s benchmark rate in November could provide enough insurance against the risk of higher energy prices being... 2nd November 2026 · Financial Times
Britain is trying to cut its deficit quickly — can it do it mainly through tax rises? Paul Dales, economist at Capital Economics, said the UK’s effort to bear down on borrowing was a legacy of the market sell-off provoked by former prime minister Liz Truss’s so-called “mini” Budget in... 28th October 2026 · Financial Times
