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Modelling the COVID-19 shock

We have developed a 45-sector spreadsheet model that allows clients to design their own shutdown scenarios and assess the impact on GDP in 20 major economies. This tool helps to shed light on how the different sectoral composition of various economies will determine the size of the overall hit to output from the shutdowns. One key message is that EMs are more vulnerable than DMs, and that large European countries are generally more exposed among advanced economies.

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