Skip to main content

Why we are not in a new commodity supercycle

The latest rally in many commodity prices has prompted some commentators to herald the arrival of a new commodity supercycle. In this Commodities Watch, we outline what is meant by a supercycle and discuss why we are not at the start of a long-run bull market in commodity prices. In our view, a prolonged surge in metals prices is likely as efforts to decarbonise the world economy take effect, but we are sceptical that it is already underway.

Subscriber content

Read this in full, free

Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.


Free. 10 articles. No card required.

By completing this form you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions for the provision of a free trial of Capital Economics' services. We take your privacy seriously and will not share your details with others without your consent. By providing your details, including your email address, you are consenting to Capital Economics sending you macroeconomic commentary and analysis. You can unsubscribe at any time. See our Privacy Policy for more information.