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The economic fallout from political risks in Lat Am

The pandemic appears to be accelerating a political trend towards populism in Latin America. While there is a lot of uncertainty about how this might play out, it generally points towards loose fiscal policy and greater state intervention across the region. The key economic risks are that this could lead to weaker public finances, lower potential growth and possibly higher inflation over the medium term. The more immediate impact will probably be to keep Latin American financial markets under pressure.

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